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Non League Premier - Northern · England
United of Manchester vs AFC Emley prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
United of Manchester host AFC Emley in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: United of Manchester 1–1 AFC Emley.
Going into the match, United of Manchester had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 16. AFC Emley had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 29 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of United of Manchester's last 10 and 5 of AFC Emley's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home United of Manchester averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home AFC Emley averaged 0.70 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from United of Manchester and 1.00 from AFC Emley. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 18%, against 55%, 23% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between United of Manchester (green) and AFC Emley (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United of Manchester | DLWLW | 2.40 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
| AFC Emley | LLLLL | 0.60 | 2.90 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.57 |
| United of Manchester Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| United of Manchester HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.