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Serie D - Girone G · Italy
Unipomezia vs Atletico Lodigiani prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Unipomezia host Atletico Lodigiani in the Serie D - Girone G (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.21, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Unipomezia 3–1 Atletico Lodigiani.
Going into the match, Unipomezia had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Atletico Lodigiani had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Unipomezia's last 9 and 4 of Atletico Lodigiani's last 9; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Unipomezia averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Atletico Lodigiani averaged 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.04 goals from Unipomezia and 1.10 from Atletico Lodigiani. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 10%, against 65%, 20% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 92%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Unipomezia (green) and Atletico Lodigiani (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unipomezia | DWWDL | 1.67 | 1.11 | 56% | 56% |
| Atletico Lodigiani | LLDLL | 1.00 | 1.89 | 44% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Unipomezia Win | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.