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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Cultural Leonesa prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Unionistas de Salamanca host Cultural Leonesa in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Unionistas de Salamanca 2–0 Cultural Leonesa.
Going into the match, Unionistas de Salamanca had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Cultural Leonesa had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Unionistas de Salamanca's last 10 and 3 of Cultural Leonesa's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Unionistas de Salamanca averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Cultural Leonesa averaged 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Unionistas de Salamanca and 1.01 from Cultural Leonesa. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 35%, against 31%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Unionistas de Salamanca (green) and Cultural Leonesa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unionistas de Salamanca | LWLLL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 40% | 40% |
| Cultural Leonesa | DWLWD | 1.10 | 0.70 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Cultural Leonesa Win | 41% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.