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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 00:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Union Santa Fe host Defensa Y Justicia in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 10 Oct 2026, 00:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Union Santa Fe 0–2 Defensa Y Justicia.
Going into the match, Union Santa Fe had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Defensa Y Justicia had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Union Santa Fe's last 10 and 5 of Defensa Y Justicia's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union Santa Fe averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Defensa Y Justicia averaged 1.00 scored and 2.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Union Santa Fe and 1.71 from Defensa Y Justicia. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 45%, against 41%, 31% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Union Santa Fe (green) and Defensa Y Justicia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe | LLLWW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 80% |
| Defensa Y Justicia | WDWLW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.