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Primera B · Chile
Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Union San Felipe host Deportes Iquique in the Primera B (Chile) on 4 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Union San Felipe 0–2 Deportes Iquique.
Going into the match, Union San Felipe had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 14. Deportes Iquique had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Union San Felipe's last 10 and 5 of Deportes Iquique's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union San Felipe averaged 0.45 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Deportes Iquique averaged 1.67 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.72 goals from Union San Felipe and 1.62 from Deportes Iquique. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 58%, against 32%, 27% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Union San Felipe (green) and Deportes Iquique (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union San Felipe | LLDDL | 0.30 | 1.40 | 20% | 20% |
| Deportes Iquique | LDWLL | 1.40 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Deportes Iquique Win | 41% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.