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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs RWDM prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Union Saint-Gilloise II host RWDM in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Union Saint-Gilloise II 4–2 RWDM.
Going into the match, Union Saint-Gilloise II had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 9. RWDM had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 9, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Union Saint-Gilloise II's last 10 and 5 of RWDM's last 9; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union Saint-Gilloise II averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home RWDM averaged 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Union Saint-Gilloise II and 1.08 from RWDM. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 20%, against 31%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Union Saint-Gilloise II (green) and RWDM (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise II | DWDWL | 1.30 | 0.90 | 60% | 30% |
| RWDM | DWWWW | 1.56 | 1.33 | 56% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| RWDM Win | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.