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Copa Chile · Chile
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Union La Calera host Coquimbo Unido in the Copa Chile (Chile) on 20 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Union La Calera had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Coquimbo Unido had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Union La Calera's last 10 and 7 of Coquimbo Unido's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union La Calera averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Coquimbo Unido averaged 1.33 scored and 1.44 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Union La Calera and 0.97 from Coquimbo Unido. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 33%, against 31%, 28% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Union La Calera (green) and Coquimbo Unido (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union La Calera | DDDWL | 1.00 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
| Coquimbo Unido | WWWLL | 1.60 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jul 2026 · Coquimbo Unido 0–1 Union La Calera
- 9 Jul 2026 · Union La Calera 0–1 Coquimbo Unido
- 25 Apr 2026 · Union La Calera 1–2 Coquimbo Unido
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Coquimbo Unido Win | 38% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.