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Segunda División · Peru
Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Union Comercio host Ayacucho FC in the Segunda División (Peru) on 12 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Union Comercio Win — Union Comercio to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Union Comercio 5–0 Ayacucho FC.
Going into the match, Union Comercio had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Ayacucho FC had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Union Comercio's last 10 and 4 of Ayacucho FC's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union Comercio averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Ayacucho FC averaged 0.89 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Union Comercio and 0.47 from Ayacucho FC. From that it rates a home win at 74%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 7%, against 63%, 23% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Union Comercio (green) and Ayacucho FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Comercio | LWLWD | 1.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Ayacucho FC | LWLLW | 1.50 | 1.80 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| Union Comercio Win | 62% | 1.42 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.95 |
| Union Comercio HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.