Home › League stats › Serie C - Girone A › Union Brescia vs PRO Vercelli
Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Union Brescia vs PRO Vercelli prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Union Brescia host PRO Vercelli in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Union Brescia 2–0 PRO Vercelli.
Going into the match, Union Brescia had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. PRO Vercelli had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Union Brescia's last 10 and 6 of PRO Vercelli's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union Brescia averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home PRO Vercelli averaged 0.89 scored and 2.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Union Brescia and 0.78 from PRO Vercelli. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 13%, against 65%, 21% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Union Brescia (green) and PRO Vercelli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | DDWDD | 1.90 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| PRO Vercelli | WDLDL | 1.00 | 1.30 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Union Brescia Win | 67% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.