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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin W vs Nürnberg W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Union Berlin W host Nürnberg W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Union Berlin W 2–1 Nürnberg W.
Going into the match, Union Berlin W had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Nürnberg W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Union Berlin W's last 10 and 8 of Nürnberg W's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union Berlin W averaged 1.20 goals scored and 2.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Nürnberg W averaged 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.64 goals from Union Berlin W and 2.14 from Nürnberg W. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 32%, against 56%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Union Berlin W (green) and Nürnberg W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin W | WWWLL | 1.60 | 1.70 | 30% | 60% |
| Nürnberg W | LWLLD | 2.40 | 2.80 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Union Berlin W Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.