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Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Union Berlin host SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Union Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg.
Going into the match, Union Berlin had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 29. SV Elversberg had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Union Berlin's last 10 and 8 of SV Elversberg's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union Berlin averaged 2.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home SV Elversberg averaged 2.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Union Berlin and 2.00 from SV Elversberg. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 41%, against 40%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Union Berlin (green) and SV Elversberg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | WLLLD | 1.70 | 2.90 | 70% | 90% |
| SV Elversberg | LDLWW | 2.30 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.