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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
União Leiria U23 vs Santa Clara U23 prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
União Leiria U23 host Santa Clara U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 6 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: União Leiria U23 1–1 Santa Clara U23.
Going into the match, União Leiria U23 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Santa Clara U23 had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of União Leiria U23's last 9 and 6 of Santa Clara U23's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home União Leiria U23 averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Santa Clara U23 averaged 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from União Leiria U23 and 1.12 from Santa Clara U23. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 33%, against 36%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between União Leiria U23 (green) and Santa Clara U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União Leiria U23 | LLLWW | 1.56 | 1.00 | 44% | 44% |
| Santa Clara U23 | DDWWL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Santa Clara U23 Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.