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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Portugal
União Lamas vs Camacha prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
União Lamas host Camacha in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: União Lamas 0–3 Camacha.
Going into the match, União Lamas had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Camacha had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of União Lamas's last 10 and 5 of Camacha's last 9; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home União Lamas averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Camacha averaged 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from União Lamas and 1.64 from Camacha. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 50%, against 38%, 30% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between União Lamas (green) and Camacha (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União Lamas | DWDLD | 1.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
| Camacha | LDWDW | 1.33 | 1.22 | 56% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| União Lamas Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| 0-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.