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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Unia Swarzędz vs Kotwica Kórnik prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Unia Swarzędz host Kotwica Kórnik in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Unia Swarzędz 7–0 Kotwica Kórnik.
Going into the match, Unia Swarzędz had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Kotwica Kórnik had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Unia Swarzędz's last 10 and 7 of Kotwica Kórnik's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Unia Swarzędz averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kotwica Kórnik averaged 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.07 goals from Unia Swarzędz and 1.42 from Kotwica Kórnik. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 14%, against 57%, 21% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Unia Swarzędz (green) and Kotwica Kórnik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Swarzędz | WLLDL | 1.30 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
| Kotwica Kórnik | LLWWW | 1.80 | 2.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Kotwica Kórnik 1–2 Unia Swarzędz
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.23 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| Unia Swarzędz Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.71 |
| Unia Swarzędz HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.