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Primera Division · Nicaragua
UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
UNAN Managua host Real Estelí in the Primera Division (Nicaragua) on 8 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Real Estelí Win — Real Estelí to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: UNAN Managua 1–0 Real Estelí.
Going into the match, UNAN Managua had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Real Estelí had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of UNAN Managua's last 10 and 4 of Real Estelí's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UNAN Managua averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Real Estelí averaged 1.36 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from UNAN Managua and 1.24 from Real Estelí. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 43%, against 19%, 24% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between UNAN Managua (green) and Real Estelí (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNAN Managua | WLLWW | 1.30 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
| Real Estelí | DDWWL | 1.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Jul 2026 · Real Estelí 1–1 UNAN Managua
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| Real Estelí Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Real Estelí HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.