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1. Lig · Turkey
Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ümraniyespor host Sarıyer in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ümraniyespor 1–1 Sarıyer.
Going into the match, Ümraniyespor had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Sarıyer had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ümraniyespor's last 10 and 5 of Sarıyer's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ümraniyespor averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Sarıyer averaged 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Ümraniyespor and 1.22 from Sarıyer. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 37%, against 37%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ümraniyespor (green) and Sarıyer (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ümraniyespor | WLLLD | 0.80 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Sarıyer | WDLWW | 1.30 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.