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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Umeå FC vs Hammarby Talang prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Umeå FC host Hammarby Talang in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Hammarby Talang to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Umeå FC 2–1 Hammarby Talang.
Going into the match, Umeå FC had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Hammarby Talang had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Umeå FC's last 10 and 5 of Hammarby Talang's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Umeå FC averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Hammarby Talang averaged 2.33 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Umeå FC and 1.60 from Hammarby Talang. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 50%. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Umeå FC (green) and Hammarby Talang (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umeå FC | LWWLW | 1.20 | 1.60 | 40% | 60% |
| Hammarby Talang | WLDWL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.