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K League 1 · South Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ulsan Hyundai FC host Bucheon FC 1995 in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–1 Bucheon FC 1995.
Going into the match, Ulsan Hyundai FC had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Bucheon FC 1995 had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ulsan Hyundai FC's last 10 and 4 of Bucheon FC 1995's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ulsan Hyundai FC averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bucheon FC 1995 averaged 0.83 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Ulsan Hyundai FC and 1.29 from Bucheon FC 1995. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 31%, against 57%, 24% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ulsan Hyundai FC (green) and Bucheon FC 1995 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | LLWWD | 1.50 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | LLDLL | 1.00 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–0 Bucheon FC 1995
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Ulsan Hyundai FC Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.