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K3 League · South Korea
Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ulsan Citizen host Siheung Citizen in the K3 League (South Korea) on 3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Siheung Citizen Win — Siheung Citizen to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ulsan Citizen 1–2 Siheung Citizen.
Going into the match, Ulsan Citizen had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Siheung Citizen had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ulsan Citizen's last 10 and 5 of Siheung Citizen's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ulsan Citizen averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Siheung Citizen averaged 1.36 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Ulsan Citizen and 1.07 from Siheung Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 35%, against 21%, 25% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 35%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ulsan Citizen (green) and Siheung Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Citizen | WLWWL | 1.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
| Siheung Citizen | WWWWL | 1.40 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Ulsan Citizen 0–1 Siheung Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Siheung Citizen Win | 53% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.