Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon City prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC · Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.53Market probability 60%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ulsan Citizen host Changwon City in the K3 League (South Korea) on 1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Ulsan Citizen to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Ulsan Citizen had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Changwon City had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 21 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Ulsan Citizen's last 10 and 8 of Changwon City's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ulsan Citizen averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Changwon City averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Ulsan Citizen and 0.92 from Changwon City. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 25%, against 32%, 28% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ulsan Citizen (green) and Changwon City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%

Attack55% – 45%

Defence59% – 41%

Head-to-head0% – 100%

Goals9% – 91%

Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Ulsan Citizen	LLWLW	1.10	1.20	60%	60%
Changwon City	LWLLL	1.40	2.10	80%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

23 May 2026 · Changwon City 2–0 Ulsan Citizen