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FKF Premier League · Kenya
Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ulinzi Stars host Tusker in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ulinzi Stars 0–2 Tusker.
Going into the match, Ulinzi Stars had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Tusker had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ulinzi Stars's last 9 and 3 of Tusker's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ulinzi Stars averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Tusker averaged 0.67 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
The 1X2 prices imply about 21% for Ulinzi Stars, 31% for the draw and 49% for Tusker once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ulinzi Stars (green) and Tusker (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | WWWLD | 1.33 | 0.89 | 44% | 44% |
| Tusker | WDWLL | 0.80 | 1.00 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 May 2026 · Ulinzi Stars 2–0 Tusker
- 3 May 2026 · Ulinzi Stars 1–2 Tusker
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Tusker Win | 48% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| Tusker HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.