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Ukraine vs Hungary prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ukraine host Hungary in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ukraine 1–2 Hungary.
Going into the match, Ukraine had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Hungary had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 6 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Ukraine's last 5 and 2 of Hungary's last 5; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ukraine averaged 0.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Hungary averaged 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 38% for Ukraine, 30% for the draw and 32% for Hungary once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ukraine (green) and Hungary (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Sep 2026 · Hungary 0–1 Ukraine
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Ukraine Win | 38% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.