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Friendlies · International
Uganda vs Congo DR prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Uganda host Congo DR in the Friendlies (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Uganda to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.89, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Uganda 1–1 Congo DR.
Going into the match, Uganda had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Congo DR had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Uganda's last 3 and 5 of Congo DR's last 9; 0 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Uganda averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Congo DR averaged 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 24% for Uganda, 26% for the draw and 50% for Congo DR once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Uganda (green) and Congo DR (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Oct 2026 · Congo DR 0–2 Uganda
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 77% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.