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Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Spain
UD San Fernando vs Estrella prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
UD San Fernando host Estrella in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: UD San Fernando 3–0 Estrella.
Going into the match, UD San Fernando had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Estrella had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3, with 6 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of UD San Fernando's last 10 and 3 of Estrella's last 3; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UD San Fernando averaged 2.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Estrella averaged 2.00 scored and 4.00 conceded across 1.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.78 goals from UD San Fernando and 0.56 from Estrella. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 5%. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between UD San Fernando (green) and Estrella (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD San Fernando | LWWDL | 1.70 | 0.90 | 20% | 50% |
| Estrella | DLW | 2.00 | 2.00 | 100% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.