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Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Spain

UD San Fernando vs Estrella prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

UD San Fernando host Estrella in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: UD San Fernando 3–0 Estrella.

Going into the match, UD San Fernando had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Estrella had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3, with 6 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of UD San Fernando's last 10 and 3 of Estrella's last 3; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UD San Fernando averaged 2.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Estrella averaged 2.00 scored and 4.00 conceded across 1.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.78 goals from UD San Fernando and 0.56 from Estrella. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 5%. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between UD San Fernando (green) and Estrella (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form60% – 40%
Attack57% – 43%
Defence75% – 25%
Head-to-head91% – 9%
Goals85% – 15%
Overall strength73% – 26%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
UD San FernandoLWWDL1.700.9020%50%
EstrellaDLW2.002.00100%67%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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