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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
UD Logroñés vs Deportivo La Coruña II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
UD Logroñés host Deportivo La Coruña II in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: UD Logroñés 2–1 Deportivo La Coruña II.
Going into the match, UD Logroñés had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 9. Deportivo La Coruña II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of UD Logroñés's last 10 and 5 of Deportivo La Coruña II's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UD Logroñés averaged 2.22 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Deportivo La Coruña II averaged 1.67 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.22 goals from UD Logroñés and 0.82 from Deportivo La Coruña II. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 11%, against 57%, 26% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between UD Logroñés (green) and Deportivo La Coruña II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés | WDWWW | 2.30 | 0.90 | 50% | 70% |
| Deportivo La Coruña II | WDWDL | 1.40 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| UD Logroñés Win | 57% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.