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Copa Venezuela · Venezuela
UCV vs Club Atletico Barinas prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
UCV host Club Atletico Barinas in the Copa Venezuela (Venezuela) on 22 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is UCV Win — UCV to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, UCV had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Club Atletico Barinas had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of UCV's last 10 and 5 of Club Atletico Barinas's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UCV averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Club Atletico Barinas averaged 1.14 scored and 2.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.17 goals from UCV and 1.17 from Club Atletico Barinas. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 19%, against 59%, 22% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between UCV (green) and Club Atletico Barinas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCV | DLDWW | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
| Club Atletico Barinas | WDDLL | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| UCV Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.25 |
| UCV HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.