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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos prediction and preview
26 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
UAI Urquiza host Villa San Carlos in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 26 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is UAI Urquiza Win — UAI Urquiza to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: UAI Urquiza 2–0 Villa San Carlos.
Going into the match, UAI Urquiza had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Villa San Carlos had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of UAI Urquiza's last 10 and 2 of Villa San Carlos's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UAI Urquiza averaged 0.60 goals scored and 0.87 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Villa San Carlos averaged 1.12 scored and 1.18 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.72 goals from UAI Urquiza and 0.75 from Villa San Carlos. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 31%, against 58%, 28% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 29%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between UAI Urquiza (green) and Villa San Carlos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAI Urquiza | DWWDL | 0.90 | 1.10 | 40% | 20% |
| Villa San Carlos | WLWWD | 1.10 | 0.80 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · Villa San Carlos 0–0 UAI Urquiza
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| UAI Urquiza Win | 55% | 1.55 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| UAI Urquiza HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 37% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.