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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
UAI Urquiza host Ituzaingó in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 5 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: UAI Urquiza 3–2 Ituzaingó.
Going into the match, UAI Urquiza had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Ituzaingó had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of UAI Urquiza's last 10 and 4 of Ituzaingó's last 10; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UAI Urquiza averaged 0.38 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Ituzaingó averaged 0.69 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from UAI Urquiza and 0.67 from Ituzaingó. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 19%, against 55%, 27% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between UAI Urquiza (green) and Ituzaingó (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAI Urquiza | DLLWL | 0.50 | 1.00 | 30% | 10% |
| Ituzaingó | LLDLL | 0.50 | 1.40 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Ituzaingó 1–1 UAI Urquiza
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| UAI Urquiza Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.