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Segunda División · Peru
U. San Martin vs Alianza Universidad prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
U. San Martin host Alianza Universidad in the Segunda División (Peru) on 6 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Alianza Universidad to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: U. San Martin 2–1 Alianza Universidad.
Going into the match, U. San Martin had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 23. Alianza Universidad had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of U. San Martin's last 10 and 6 of Alianza Universidad's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home U. San Martin averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Alianza Universidad averaged 0.75 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.28 goals from U. San Martin and 1.05 from Alianza Universidad. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 15%. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between U. San Martin (green) and Alianza Universidad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. San Martin | LDLWW | 1.60 | 2.30 | 50% | 70% |
| Alianza Universidad | DDDLW | 1.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.