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Liga Alef · Israel
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm host Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 6 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4, with 7 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm's last 3 and 3 of Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's last 4; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Hapoel Umm al-Fahm averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 20% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, 23% for the draw and 57% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (green) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | LDD | 0.67 | 2.00 | 67% | 33% |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | DDWD | 1.75 | 1.50 | 75% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.