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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Tver vs Luki-Energiya prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tver host Luki-Energiya in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tver 2–1 Luki-Energiya.
Going into the match, Tver had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Luki-Energiya had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Tver's last 10 and 7 of Luki-Energiya's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tver averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Luki-Energiya averaged 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Tver and 1.29 from Luki-Energiya. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 29%, against 37%, 22% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tver (green) and Luki-Energiya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tver | WWWDD | 2.20 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| Luki-Energiya | WLWWW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Luki-Energiya 2–1 Tver
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.31 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| Double Chance X2 | 63% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
| Luki-Energiya Win | 41% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.