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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Tvååker vs Hässleholms IF prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tvååker host Hässleholms IF in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tvååker 1–2 Hässleholms IF.
Going into the match, Tvååker had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Hässleholms IF had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Tvååker's last 10 and 4 of Hässleholms IF's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tvååker averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Hässleholms IF averaged 1.69 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Tvååker and 1.47 from Hässleholms IF. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 46%, against 31%, 25% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tvååker (green) and Hässleholms IF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tvååker | LLLDW | 1.50 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
| Hässleholms IF | LLWLW | 1.50 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jun 2026 · Hässleholms IF 4–2 Tvååker
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Hässleholms IF Win | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.