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Esiliiga B · Estonia
Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev II prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tulevik host Tallinna Kalev II in the Esiliiga B (Estonia) on 3 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Tulevik to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tulevik 1–3 Tallinna Kalev II.
Going into the match, Tulevik had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 22. Tallinna Kalev II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Tulevik's last 10 and 8 of Tallinna Kalev II's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tulevik averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Tallinna Kalev II averaged 1.93 scored and 2.93 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.98 goals from Tulevik and 1.66 from Tallinna Kalev II. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 19%, against 53%, 18% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tulevik (green) and Tallinna Kalev II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulevik | WWLWL | 2.50 | 2.20 | 80% | 90% |
| Tallinna Kalev II | LLWLW | 1.80 | 2.60 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Aug 2026 · Tallinna Kalev II 2–1 Tulevik
- 10 May 2026 · Tulevik 4–3 Tallinna Kalev II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Tulevik Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Tulevik HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.