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1. Liga · Latvia
Tukums II vs Super Nova 2 prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tukums II host Super Nova 2 in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Tukums II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tukums II 0–3 Super Nova 2.
Going into the match, Tukums II had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 34. Super Nova 2 had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tukums II's last 10 and 7 of Super Nova 2's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tukums II averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Super Nova 2 averaged 1.45 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Tukums II and 1.82 from Super Nova 2. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 51%, against 47%, 22% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tukums II (green) and Super Nova 2 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums II | DLWWL | 1.30 | 3.40 | 60% | 80% |
| Super Nova 2 | LDLDL | 1.00 | 1.70 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Super Nova 2 3–1 Tukums II