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Regionalliga - Bayern · Germany

TSV 1860 München vs Bayreuth prediction and preview

13 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 65%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

TSV 1860 München host Bayreuth in the Regionalliga - Bayern (Germany) on 13 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: TSV 1860 München 2–1 Bayreuth.

Going into the match, TSV 1860 München had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Bayreuth had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of TSV 1860 München's last 10 and 5 of Bayreuth's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home TSV 1860 München averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bayreuth averaged 2.08 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from TSV 1860 München and 1.52 from Bayreuth. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 33%, against 60%, 21% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between TSV 1860 München (green) and Bayreuth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack41% – 59%
Defence44% – 56%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals55% – 45%
Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
TSV 1860 MünchenDWLWD1.801.2060%50%
BayreuthWWWLW1.901.5050%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No70%1.31
Over 2.5 Goals65%1.40
BTTS Yes62%1.48
TSV 1860 München Win60%1.49
Under 3.5 Goals57%1.61
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals49%1.85
Over 3.5 Goals43%2.12
2-112%7.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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