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2. Division - Group 2 · Norway
Trygg/Lade vs Junkeren prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Trygg/Lade host Junkeren in the 2. Division - Group 2 (Norway) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Junkeren to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Trygg/Lade 1–2 Junkeren.
Going into the match, Trygg/Lade had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 20. Junkeren had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Trygg/Lade's last 10 and 6 of Junkeren's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Trygg/Lade averaged 1.18 goals scored and 2.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Junkeren averaged 1.00 scored and 2.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Trygg/Lade and 1.71 from Junkeren. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 40%, against 36%, 23% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Trygg/Lade (green) and Junkeren (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trygg/Lade | LLLLL | 1.10 | 2.00 | 60% | 60% |
| Junkeren | LWWDD | 1.60 | 1.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Junkeren 3–2 Trygg/Lade
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Double Chance X2 | 65% | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.