Home › League stats › National League Cup › Truro City vs Birmingham City U21
National League Cup · England
Truro City vs Birmingham City U21 prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Truro City host Birmingham City U21 in the National League Cup (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Truro City 3–0 Birmingham City U21.
Going into the match, Truro City had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Birmingham City U21 had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 15 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Truro City's last 10 and 5 of Birmingham City U21's last 9; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Truro City averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Birmingham City U21 averaged 2.17 scored and 2.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.05 goals from Truro City and 0.63 from Birmingham City U21. From that it rates a home win at 84%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 4%, against 52%, 22% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Truro City (green) and Birmingham City U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truro City | WDWWW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 70% | 60% |
| Birmingham City U21 | LDWLD | 1.67 | 2.22 | 56% | 78% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 79% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.40 |
| Truro City Win | 57% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.79 |
| Truro City HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.