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Primera División · Venezuela
Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Trujillanos FC host Puerto Cabello in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Trujillanos FC 0–1 Puerto Cabello.
Going into the match, Trujillanos FC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Puerto Cabello had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Trujillanos FC's last 10 and 5 of Puerto Cabello's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Trujillanos FC averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Puerto Cabello averaged 0.64 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Trujillanos FC and 1.32 from Puerto Cabello. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 45%, against 19%, 26% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Trujillanos FC (green) and Puerto Cabello (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trujillanos FC | DDLWL | 1.20 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Puerto Cabello | WDLDD | 1.40 | 0.70 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Apr 2026 · Puerto Cabello 3–1 Trujillanos FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Puerto Cabello Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.