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Second NL · Croatia
Trnje vs Uljanik prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Trnje host Uljanik in the Second NL (Croatia) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Uljanik to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Trnje 2–0 Uljanik.
Going into the match, Trnje had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Uljanik had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Trnje's last 10 and 6 of Uljanik's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Trnje averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Uljanik averaged 1.13 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.19 goals from Trnje and 1.31 from Uljanik. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 22%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Trnje (green) and Uljanik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Uljanik Win | 36% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.