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Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Spain
Trival Valderas vs Las Rozas prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Trival Valderas host Las Rozas in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Trival Valderas 2–1 Las Rozas.
Going into the match, Trival Valderas had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Las Rozas had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Trival Valderas's last 10 and 6 of Las Rozas's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Trival Valderas averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Las Rozas averaged 2.14 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Trival Valderas and 1.17 from Las Rozas. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 34%, against 40%, 28% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Trival Valderas (green) and Las Rozas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trival Valderas | WDDWL | 1.10 | 0.70 | 50% | 30% |
| Las Rozas | DWWLD | 1.90 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Jun 2026 · Trival Valderas 3–1 Las Rozas
- 31 May 2026 · Las Rozas 1–1 Trival Valderas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Trival Valderas Win | 40% | 2.20 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.