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Primera Premier · Mexico
Tritons Vallarta vs Pioneros de Cancún prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tritons Vallarta host Pioneros de Cancún in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 31 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Pioneros de Cancún Win — Pioneros de Cancún to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tritons Vallarta had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Pioneros de Cancún had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 8, with 18 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tritons Vallarta's last 10 and 4 of Pioneros de Cancún's last 8; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tritons Vallarta averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Pioneros de Cancún averaged 3.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.67 goals from Tritons Vallarta and 1.50 from Pioneros de Cancún. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 56%, against 18%, 26% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tritons Vallarta (green) and Pioneros de Cancún (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritons Vallarta | LLLDL | 0.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 20% |
| Pioneros de Cancún | DDWWW | 2.25 | 0.88 | 50% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| Pioneros de Cancún Win | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 45% | 2.06 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Tritons Vallarta form and statistics
- Pioneros de Cancún form and statistics
- Primera Premier statistics
Other Primera Premier matches that day
- Irapuato vs Deportiva Venados · 1 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC · Primera Premier
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - Los Cabos United vs Celaya · 1 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC · Primera Premier
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Lobos ULMX vs Chapulineros · 1 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC · Primera Premier
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Zacatepec 1948 vs Racing de Veracruz · 31 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · Primera Premier
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Cordobés vs Jaguares de Chiapas · 31 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · Primera Premier
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals