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Primera Premier · Mexico
Tritons Vallarta vs H2O Purepechas prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tritons Vallarta host H2O Purepechas in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tritons Vallarta had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. H2O Purepechas had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6, with 3 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tritons Vallarta's last 10 and 1 of H2O Purepechas's last 6; 1 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tritons Vallarta averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home H2O Purepechas averaged 0.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
The 1X2 prices imply about 40% for Tritons Vallarta, 28% for the draw and 33% for H2O Purepechas once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tritons Vallarta (green) and H2O Purepechas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritons Vallarta | LLDLD | 0.60 | 1.00 | 50% | 10% |
| H2O Purepechas | WLLLL | 0.50 | 1.17 | 17% | 17% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Tritons Vallarta Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.