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Premier League · Lebanon
Tripoli SC vs Al Ahed prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tripoli SC host Al Ahed in the Premier League (Lebanon) on 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Al Ahed to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tripoli SC 1–1 Al Ahed.
The 1X2 prices imply about 24% for Tripoli SC, 26% for the draw and 50% for Al Ahed once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tripoli SC (green) and Al Ahed (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Al Ahed Win | 49% | 1.80 |
| Al Ahed HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.