Home › League stats › 2. SNL › Triglav vs Jesenice
2. SNL · Slovenia
Triglav vs Jesenice prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Triglav host Jesenice in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Triglav 4–0 Jesenice.
Going into the match, Triglav had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Jesenice had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Triglav's last 10 and 4 of Jesenice's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Triglav averaged 2.11 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Jesenice averaged 1.00 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.56 goals from Triglav and 0.72 from Jesenice. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 8%, against 53%, 23% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Triglav (green) and Jesenice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Apr 2026 · Jesenice 0–3 Triglav
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.26 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Triglav Win | 53% | 1.67 |
| Triglav HT & FT | 38% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.