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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Treviso vs Ospitaletto prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Treviso host Ospitaletto in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Treviso 0–1 Ospitaletto.
Going into the match, Treviso had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Ospitaletto had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Treviso's last 10 and 6 of Ospitaletto's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Treviso averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Ospitaletto averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.87 goals from Treviso and 1.31 from Ospitaletto. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 46%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Treviso (green) and Ospitaletto (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treviso | DWDDW | 0.80 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| Ospitaletto | DWLDW | 1.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.