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Elitettan · Sweden

Trelleborg W vs Elfsborg W prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.67Market probability 56%Final score 2–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Trelleborg W host Elfsborg W in the Elitettan (Sweden) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Trelleborg W 2–4 Elfsborg W.

Going into the match, Trelleborg W had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Elfsborg W had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Trelleborg W's last 10 and 5 of Elfsborg W's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Trelleborg W averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Elfsborg W averaged 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.77 goals from Trelleborg W and 1.83 from Elfsborg W. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 62%, against 23%, 23% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Trelleborg W (green) and Elfsborg W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form42% – 58%
Attack38% – 62%
Defence63% – 38%
Head-to-head71% – 29%
Goals63% – 38%
Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Trelleborg WWWDDL1.601.6030%50%
Elfsborg WDWWDW1.800.8050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.32
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals61%1.54
Over 2.5 Goals56%1.67
Elfsborg W Win54%1.67
BTTS Yes54%1.73
Elfsborg W HT & FT37%2.50
1-210%9.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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