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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Trelleborg vs Kristianstad prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Trelleborg host Kristianstad in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Trelleborg 2–0 Kristianstad.
Going into the match, Trelleborg had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Kristianstad had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Trelleborg's last 10 and 5 of Kristianstad's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Trelleborg averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Kristianstad averaged 1.18 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from Trelleborg and 0.97 from Kristianstad. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 17%, against 66%, 20% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Trelleborg (green) and Kristianstad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trelleborg | WWWWW | 2.00 | 1.40 | 80% | 80% |
| Kristianstad | LWWLD | 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jun 2026 · Kristianstad 0–0 Trelleborg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Trelleborg Win | 67% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Trelleborg HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.