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Premier League · Jamaica
Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Treasure Beach host Humble Lions in the Premier League (Jamaica) on 4 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Treasure Beach 1–1 Humble Lions.
Going into the match, Treasure Beach had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Humble Lions had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3, with 1 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Treasure Beach's last 10 and 1 of Humble Lions's last 3; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Treasure Beach averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Humble Lions averaged 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 57% for Treasure Beach, 24% for the draw and 19% for Humble Lions once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Treasure Beach (green) and Humble Lions (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treasure Beach | LDLLW | 1.40 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
| Humble Lions | LLL | 0.33 | 4.00 | 33% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.55 |
| Treasure Beach Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Treasure Beach HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.