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League Two · England
Tranmere vs Rochdale prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tranmere host Rochdale in the League Two (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tranmere 1–1 Rochdale.
Going into the match, Tranmere had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Rochdale had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tranmere's last 10 and 4 of Rochdale's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tranmere averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Rochdale averaged 0.80 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Tranmere and 1.06 from Rochdale. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 22%, against 49%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tranmere (green) and Rochdale (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Tranmere 2–2 Rochdale
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.