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Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran
Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tractor Sazi host Esteghlal FC in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) on 8 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tractor Sazi 1–1 Esteghlal FC.
Going into the match, Tractor Sazi had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Esteghlal FC had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 8, with 12 scored and 1 conceded.
Both teams scored in 0 of Tractor Sazi's last 9 and 1 of Esteghlal FC's last 8; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tractor Sazi averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Esteghlal FC averaged 0.33 scored and 0.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.50 goals from Tractor Sazi and 0.49 from Esteghlal FC. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 49% and an away win at 25%, against 38%, 31% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 92%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tractor Sazi (green) and Esteghlal FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tractor Sazi | LLWDW | 0.89 | 0.56 | 0% | 11% |
| Esteghlal FC | WWDDD | 1.50 | 0.13 | 13% | 25% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Tractor Sazi Win | 37% | 2.41 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 37% | 2.43 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.